| INTRODUCTION | 1 |
| 1. 17 SEPTEMBER: PITTSBURGH, BARROSO’S RE-ELECTION, THE LISBON TREATY AND CLIMATE CHANGE | 2 |
| 1.1 THE PITTSBURGH G20 SUMMIT | 2 |
| 1.2 THE RE-ELECTION OF JOSÉ MANUEL BARROSO AS PRESIDENT OF THE COMMISSION | 4 |
| 1.3 THE CZECH REPUBLIC AND THE RATIFICATION OF THE LISBON TREATY | 5 |
| 1.4 CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE COPENHAGEN SUMMIT | 6 |
| 2. A GERMAN INTERMEZZO: THE RE-ELECTION OF ANGELA MERKEL AS CHANCELLOR | 7 |
| 3. THE OCTOBER EUROPEAN COUNCIL: LISBON AND CLIMATE CHANGE | 10 |
| 3.1. INSTITUTIONAL QUESTIONS (PARAGRAPHS 1-3) | 10 |
| 3.1.1 The Czech problem | 10 |
| 3.1.2 The implementation of the Treaty | 13 |
| 3.2 CLIMATE CHANGE (PARAGRAPHS 4-25) | 15 |
| 3.2.1 The EU at the forefront of efforts to combat climate change | 16 |
| 3.2.2 Financing the fight against climate change | 17 |
| Burden sharing | 18 |
| The costs of the climate change package and the EU’s willingness to pay | 19 |
| Russia, Ukraine and the new member states | 20 |
| 3.3 ECONOMIC, FINANCIAL AND EMPLOYMENT SITUATION (PARAGRAPHS 26-34) | 21 |
| 3.4 OTHER BUSINESS: THE BALTIC, IMMIGRATION & ASYLUM & EXTERNAL RELATIONS (PARAGRAPHS 35-43) | 22 |
| 3.4.1 EU Strategy for the Baltic Region | 22 |
| 3.4.2 Immigration and asylum | 23 |
| 3.4.3 Afghanistan and Pakistan | 23 |
| 4. 19 NOVEMBER: CHOOSING THE EU’S NEW LEADERS | 25 |
| 4.1 SPECULATION APLENTY AND THE IMPLAUSIBLE TALE OF TONY BLAIR | 25 |
| 4.2 DEVELOPMENTS IN THE MARGINS OF THE OCTOBER EUROPEAN COUNCIL | 26 |
| 4.3 GORDON BROWN, THE UNWILLING KINGMAKER | 27 |
| 4.4 THE EUROPEAN COUNCIL OF 19 NOVEMBER: A MAN, A WOMAN AND THE MISSING THIRD MAN | 30 |
| 4.5 HERMAN VAN ROMPUY AND CATHERINE ASHTON | 31 |
| 5. SOME CONCLUSIONS | 36 |
| 5.1 THE EROSION OF THE AUTHORITY OF THE CONCLUSIONS | 36 |
| 5.2 THE IMPACT OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE ON EUROPEAN SOLIDARITY AND COHESION | 37 |
| 5.3 CO-OPTING THE BIG THREE | 39 |
| 5.4 THE BRITISH CHALLENGE | 39 |
| 5.5 THE MEDIA | 40 |
| ANNEXE 1 | 43 |
| ANNEXE 2 | 50 |
| ANNEXE 3 | 50 |
| ENDNOTES | 52 |
| EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | 55 |
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